Monday, September 14, 2009

* Oil falls $1,


* Oil falls $1, extending Fri sell-off as dollar rebounds
* Questions about demand recovery cast shadow over commods
* Investors wait for stocks to drain, consumption to recover (Updates prices, adds details)
By Osamu Tsukimori

TOKYO, Sept 14 (Reuters) - Oil fell more than a dollar toward $68 a barrel on Monday as a rebound in the beaten-down U.S. dollar and nagging concerns that prices may have run ahead of market fundamentals extended last week's late sell-off.
The U.S. currency rallied sharply against a basket of currencies as investors covered short positions following last week's slide of 2 percent to its lowest in a year, fuelled by funds flowing into riskier assets such as stocks and commodities and a drop in U.S. Treasury yields.

Kuwait has signed a $2.5 billion contract

KUWAIT, Sept 14 Kuwait has signed a $2.5 billion contract with General Electric Co and Hyundai Heavy Industries to build and operate a power plant in the north of the country, state news agency reported.
The Subbiya power plant, which is expected to come on stream in the summer of 2011, will produce 2,000 megawatts, or 20 percent of the country's current power output, KUNA said on Monday, citing Kuwait's Minister of Electricity and Water Badr al-Shuraian.
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"The contract includes importing and assembly of six gas turbines that will produce 1,320 megawatts in addition to six steam turbines generating 700 megawatts," al-Shuraian said.
Last month, Kuwait chose General Electric ( GE - news - people ) to build the Subbiya plant after it had the lowest bid for about 760 million dinars ($2.65 billion).
The U.S. giant beat other pre-qualified firms for the projects such as Germany's Siemens ( SI - news - people ), Japan's Mitsui & Co and Marubeni Corporation ( MARUY.PK - news - people ), Spain's Iberdrola ( IBDRF.PK - news - people ) Ingenieria Y Construccion, and Canada's SNC-Lavalin Limited.
In April, Kuwait issued a new tender to build turbines for the plant in the north of the country, saying it expected the cost to be far less than earlier estimates in excess of 700 million dinars.

FOREX-US dollar falls to near 1-year low as stocks rise


FOREX-US dollar falls to near 1-year low as stocks rise.
NEW YORK, (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar fell to a one-year low against major currencies Friday as optimism about the outlook for the global economy after strong Chinese data, encouraged investors to favor higher yielding currencies and stocks instead of the safety of the greenback.
Currencies such as the euro, sterling and the Australian dollar rose as stocks rose in Asia and European shares headed for a sixth consecutive day of gains. U.S. stock indexes were little changed at the opening.
The U.S. dollar was on track for its steepest weekly decline in almost four months against a basket of currencies and the euro, which hit a 2009 high of $1.4627 earlier.
The U.S. currency, perceived as a safe haven, tends to fall as investor risk appetite increases.
"Dollar selling momentum has picked up with the rise in equities, and some solid data out of China and the U.S. recently," said Win Thin, a currency strategist at Brown Brothers Harriman in New York. "Euro/dollar broke through important key levels this week and the forex market will keep testing new highs on the pair in coming days."
In morning trading in New York, the InterContinental Exchange's dollar index <.DXY., a gauge of the greenback's performance against six other major currencies, was down 0.2 percent on the day at 76.68, having earlier traded down at 76.51, its lowest since late September 2008.
The euro was 0.1 percent up on the day at $1.4603 , and about 2.0 percent higher on the week.
Solid data out of China added to the view the global economy is on the road to recovery , while questions about the dollar's long-term value also added to the negative sentiment towards the currency.
A U.S. Treasury official on Friday said it makes sense for China to diversify its huge stockpile of foreign exchange reserves, which analysts said fed the bearish dollar sentiment that has firmly taken hold this week. .
The dollar was down 0.9 percent on the day against the yen at 90.91 yen , having hit a seven-month low earlier of 90.69 yen, according to Reuters data, while the yen also gained versus the euro, which fell 0.8 percent to 132.68 yen .
YEN, RESERVE DIVERSIFICATION
Some analysts said yen strength may reflect the repatriation of profits by Japanese exporters ahead of the end of the first half of the Japanese fiscal year.
They also noted the focus in times of strong risk appetite may now be firmly on selling the dollar, rather than on selling of currencies such as the yen and the Swiss franc which were previously seen as the funding units of choice in carry trades.
In carry trades investors borrow in low-yielding currencies to finance purchases of higher-yielding assets.
"The yen has been surprisingly strong," said Thin at Brown Brothers. "Repatriation and some dollar-funded carry trades may be contributing to its gains."
Sterling rose 0.3 percent to $1.6695, just below a one-month high of $1.6742 , while the Australian dollar gained 0.1 percent to $0.8642 .
Concerns about central bank reserve diversification returned on Friday after Russia's central bank first deputy chairman Alexei Ulyukayev told Reuters the central bank would like to diversify its basket of forex reserve currencies by adding two or three more.

Wednesday, August 26, 2009

Kicking the bailout habit

Kicking the bailout habit
2:50pm: The FDIC wants banks to stand on their own two feet, but withdrawing insurance on big checking accounts won't be popular. More

Detroit's jobless economy: Startups take root
12:47pm: Hundreds turn out for tips on how to open their own business, and city shows off its support network for entrepreneurs. More

Tuesday, August 25, 2009

Bernanke the risk taker

Bernanke the risk taker
Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke launched an unprecedented battle against the financial crisis, but the risks he assumed have him walking a tightrope.


.In nominating the Federal Reserve chairman to a second term, President Obama on Tuesday compared Bernanke's efforts to avert a second Great Depression to FDR's "bold, persistent experimentation" to get the country out of the first one.
But Bernanke's efforts weren't easy -- or without critics.
The Fed has taken on unprecedented risk: It took on a trillion dollars of troubled assets, slashed interest rates, bailed out financial industry titans and launched more than a dozen expensive lending programs.
Bernanke is sure to face a lively confirmation debate in the Senate before his first term is up in January of next year.
"The problem with all of the risk is that it has created an unhappiness with Congress," said Lyle Gramley, a former Fed governor. "It's going to create problems for Bernanke in his confirmation, but these things had to be done to prevent an absolute meltdown in the economy."

HONG KONG

HONG KONG -- Steel-to-property conglomerate Citic Pacific Ltd. posted Wednesday a 43% fall in its first-half net profit on lower contributions from its special steel division, and said it will continue to divest noncore assets while boosting investment in core businesses.
The firm, which suffered massive losses from Australian dollar positions that went sour late last year, said its net profit for the six months ended June 30 was 2.47 billion Hong Kong dollars ($319 million), down from HK$4.36 billion a year earlier. The result was higher than the average HK$1.90 billion forecast of three analysts surveyed earlier by ...

Falling Equities Lift Dollar And Yen,"


Falling Equities Lift Dollar And Yen,"By Nicholas Hastings
LONDON (Dow Jones)--A 2.6% fall in the Shanghai Composite Index set the tone in currency markets in Europe Tuesday, with the dollar and the yen benefiting as safe havens.
The euro, with other high-yielders, were the main losers as the market waits to see if U.S. consumer confidence data later in the day lives up to expectations.

The downturn in market sentiment started late in New York Monday with the Dow Jones Industrial Average ending a marginally 0.03% higher.
Analysts said the overall mood of global markets has been depressed by remarks from Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao that monetary policy will stay loose because the economy faces new difficulties.
This appeared to inject fresh jitters into financial markets when concern about the global recovery was already on the rise.
In Japan, the Nikkei lost 0.8% on the day while in China the Shanghai Composite fell as much as 5.5% at one stage before rebounding just before the close to end down just 2.6%.
Although news that Israel had been one of the first economies to start hiking interest rates didn't have a direct impact on market sentiment, it contributed to the impression that the era of low recession-driven global rates is coming to an end. Norway is expected to be the first G10 country to follow Israel.
A report that Japanese three-month Libor rates have fallen under those in the U.S. for the first time in 16 years also helped focus market attention on relative yields and push the yen higher against the dollar.
Some analysts suggested that the downbeat mood could be extended if new consumer confidence data in the U.S. fails to live up to expectations. The data from the Conference Board is forecast to show the confidence index rising to 48 from 46.6.
However, James Knightley, a senior economist with ING Financial Markets, said a sharp fall in the University of Michigan's confidence survey and a disappointing retail sales report for July will make the market wary of weakness.
"If so, this may add to concerns regarding the sustainability of the recovery story," he said.
By 0915 GMT, the dollar had fallen to Y94.33 from Y94.52 late Monday in New York, according to EBS.
The euro was down at $1.4280 from $1.4299 and at Y134.73 from Y135.15.
The dollar was also up at CHF1.0624 from CHF1.0616 while the pound was down at $1.6365 from $1.6412.